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Texas State Bobcats 63
@
UT Arlington Mavericks 72
2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats UT Arlington Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 ✓ (5.0 off)

Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +9 (72-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Conley * 35 3-6 0-1 1-4 4 3 1 0 1 7 8 -10.5
K. Gilder-Tilbury * 33 3-9 2-8 4-4 5 0 0 0 3 12 5 -
C. Naylor * 27 4-7 0-1 5-5 9 0 1 0 3 13 13 -13.9
E. Gant * 26 5-7 0-0 3-6 4 1 2 0 2 13 11 -13.7
O. Black * 25 2-6 0-2 2-2 0 4 2 0 1 6 5 -13.7
A. Roberson 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -10.3
K.J. Malveau 15 1-5 0-3 4-4 3 0 1 0 3 6 2 -
M. McCrea 13 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 2 3 1 -3.8
D. West 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Evans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wilson * 35 4-10 0-3 7-9 5 2 0 0 1 15 11 +14.1
D. Charles * 35 7-13 6-11 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 22 14 +14.1
E. Neal * 32 4-14 2-9 2-3 11 7 1 0 6 12 11 +14.9
J. Bilbao * 29 5-8 0-0 1-3 6 1 2 0 2 11 10 +3.9
J. Jones * 22 2-7 0-3 3-4 7 0 1 0 0 7 8 +16.9
K. Eubanks 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
N. Pallas 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
N. Hawkins 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
F. Pope 7 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -7 -4.2
J. Harris 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter