Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (23.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +26 (85-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Edwards * | 33 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | -11.3 |
| Riley Norris * | 30 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Retin Obasohan * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 7 | -15.1 |
| Jimmie Taylor * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -15.1 |
| Michael Kessens * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Hale | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -11.4 |
| Justin Coleman | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Donta Hall | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -4.7 |
| Brandon Austin | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -11.9 |
| Lawson Schaffer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Ulis * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Briscoe * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Alex Poythress * | 29 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +17.8 |
| Marcus Lee | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +5.8 |
| Derek Willis | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Charles Matthews | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Humphries | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E.J. Floreal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter