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2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 88.7% 11.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.5 โœ— (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +6 (95-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabe York * 44 7-20 7-16 0-0 5 2 3 0 6 21 5 -2.0
Kadeem Allen * 40 4-11 1-2 5-6 6 4 0 0 3 14 10 -
Kaleb Tarczewski * 33 4-8 0-0 3-5 12 0 0 2 1 11 16 +10.9
Allonzo Trier * 29 5-10 2-5 4-6 4 0 0 0 3 16 7 +4.7
Ryan Anderson * 26 2-13 0-1 2-4 6 1 0 0 0 6 0 -5.6
Parker Jackson-Cartwright 23 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 5 0 0 2 5 7 -
Chance Comanche 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 6 +2.3
Dusan Ristic 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Mark Tollefsen 5 3-3 1-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 8 9 -13.0
Justin Simon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.1

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Cook * 41 8-15 1-1 5-11 5 3 2 1 2 22 16 -
D. Brooks * 40 5-13 2-3 7-8 8 6 0 0 2 19 18 -
T. Dorsey * 38 6-11 4-6 3-3 1 0 2 1 2 19 10 -
C. Benson * 37 2-5 2-5 2-4 1 3 1 0 0 8 8 -
C. Boucher * 22 3-6 0-1 0-2 5 0 1 3 0 6 9 -
James Bell 26 3-9 0-1 3-4 7 1 1 4 1 9 12 -2.2
D. Benjamin 20 5-8 1-2 1-4 8 0 3 2 0 12 17 +7.8
K. Small 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter