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2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 97.4% 2.6% -
Bradley-Terry 98.3% 1.7% -
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% -
Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Freeman * 36 5-12 2-4 2-2 6 3 2 0 2 14 11 +6.0
L. Medford * 29 3-10 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 9 -1 +11.2
J. Motley * 28 4-6 0-0 3-8 7 0 3 0 4 11 11 +11.3
T. Prince * 26 3-11 0-6 3-5 4 2 0 3 2 9 5 +11.3
I. Wainright * 25 2-7 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 -
R. Gathers 30 4-8 0-0 5-8 9 0 1 1 0 13 16 +11.2
J. Lindsey 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Maston 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. McClure 6 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Graham * 38 4-8 3-7 3-6 4 8 4 1 4 14 19 -
F. Mason III * 34 4-6 1-2 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 9 13 -6.6
W. Selden * 31 5-9 0-3 1-2 2 4 0 0 2 11 6 -
P. Ellis * 25 7-15 0-1 6-6 4 0 0 0 0 20 9 -5.6
L. Lucas * 24 0-0 0-0 1-4 7 0 3 1 0 1 12 -2.6
J. Traylor 19 0-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 2 1 5 -
C. Bragg Jr. 10 4-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 2 10 8 -7.1
S. Mykhailiuk 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 0 0 -
B. Greene 6 0-2 0-2 2-4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
L. Vick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Mickelson 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Diallo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter