Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.2% | 88.8% | +11.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (78-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius Jackson * | 33 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -5.6 |
| Steve Vasturia * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | -17.5 |
| V.J. Beachem * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Zach Auguste * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Bonzie Colson * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | -17.9 |
| Matt Farrell | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Matt Ryan | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Rex Pflueger | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -13.5 |
| Austin Burgett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Martinas Geben | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Austin Torres | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 32 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | +22.8 |
| J. Berry II * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +15.7 |
| Isaiah Hicks | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 16 | +22.7 |
| Theo Pinson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nate Britt | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +15.4 |
| Joel James | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luke Maye | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stilman White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Spenser Dalton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Toby Egbuna | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter