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2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% -
Log Adjusted 11.2% 88.8% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Criswell * 40 3-10 0-2 8-8 8 2 2 1 4 14 13 -6.7
C. Oliver * 39 7-16 0-5 7-11 10 1 1 3 6 21 14 -
D.J. Fenner * 37 2-12 1-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 5 -2 -
E. Foster * 33 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 7 -3.4
L. Drew * 24 1-5 0-1 0-1 4 3 0 1 1 2 4 -7.3
E. Cooper Jr. 14 2-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 2 -9.7
M. Coleman 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
K. Rodriguez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Shepard * 31 3-10 0-0 7-10 7 2 1 0 0 13 13 -
D. Allen * 30 4-9 1-6 2-4 5 1 4 1 1 11 12 -
T. Kell * 26 5-11 1-5 4-4 4 0 1 0 2 15 7 +11.2
M. Pope * 20 3-9 2-4 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 8 2 +7.5
S. Spencer * 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 2 1 0 5 -9.2
Z. Cheatham 26 3-4 0-1 5-9 2 2 2 1 3 11 11 +11.2
J. Hemsley 22 2-9 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 4 -3 +3.7
A. Chol 18 1-5 0-0 3-3 7 0 1 0 0 5 8 +7.2
M. Shrigley 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +3.1

* = starter