Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Criswell * | 40 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | -6.7 |
| C. Oliver * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 7-11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Fenner * | 37 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| E. Foster * | 33 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3.4 |
| L. Drew * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7.3 |
| E. Cooper Jr. | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -9.7 |
| M. Coleman | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| K. Rodriguez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Allen * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Kell * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +11.2 |
| M. Pope * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +7.5 |
| S. Spencer * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Z. Cheatham | 26 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | +11.2 |
| J. Hemsley | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | +3.7 |
| A. Chol | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +7.2 |
| M. Shrigley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
* = starter