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2016-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 64.7% 35.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 19.0% 81.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% -
Log Adjusted 6.1% 93.9% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 16 3-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
D. Walton Jr. * 36 0-3 0-3 2-2 3 12 2 0 2 2 14 +0.7
Z. Irvin * 35 5-13 1-4 6-6 5 2 1 0 2 17 10 +6.1
D. Robinson * 34 4-12 1-6 3-3 1 3 0 0 1 12 3 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 34 6-13 2-4 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 15 4 -
M. Donnal * 20 6-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 2 2 12 11 +0.2
M. Wagner 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 11 -
A. Dawkins 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1.9
K. Chatman 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 5 5 +1.1
R. Doyle 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Dakich 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.4

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Ferrell * 36 5-10 1-4 3-4 4 8 0 0 1 14 15 -
T. Williams * 29 5-12 1-3 5-7 4 3 2 2 2 16 13 -
N. Zeisloft * 29 2-5 1-4 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
T. Bryant * 27 3-8 0-1 7-8 7 0 0 1 2 13 11 -
C. Hartman * 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 +3.9
O. Anunoby 27 6-6 0-0 1-1 2 2 2 3 3 13 13 -
M. Bielfeldt 17 3-8 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 7 0 -
J. Morgan 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0
R. Burton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Niego 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter