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2016-03-10

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.5% 44.5% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Utah Utes +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jacobs * 38 8-17 0-1 0-1 8 6 2 0 1 16 14 -5.8
J. McLaughlin * 37 9-16 1-3 5-6 2 1 1 1 0 24 13 -
N. Jovanovic * 24 3-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 7 6 -5.6
B. Boatwright * 23 2-10 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 -2 +1.2
E. Stewart * 21 1-6 1-3 0-1 2 1 2 0 0 3 2 -6.9
K. Reinhardt 23 5-11 3-7 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 13 4 -5.9
C. Metu 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 4 4 -
D. Clark 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 0 4 -0.4

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Poeltl * 38 5-7 0-0 4-5 8 4 0 2 4 14 17 -
J. Loveridge * 38 4-11 3-7 2-4 3 6 0 0 0 13 11 -
B. Taylor * 38 3-9 2-7 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 8 8 +9.8
K. Kuzma * 32 11-12 1-1 0-1 7 0 0 0 4 23 14 -
L. Bonam * 18 5-5 2-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 14 11 -
D. Tucker 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 6 9 +9.3
B. Chapman 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 +8.6
C. Reyes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter