Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 44 | 7-21 | 5-15 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 40 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 39 | 2-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Derryck Thornton | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -13.7 |
| Chase Jeter | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Sean Obi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.9 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius Jackson * | 44 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +9.4 |
| Steve Vasturia * | 43 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | +9.6 |
| Zach Auguste * | 41 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 26 | +9.8 |
| V.J. Beachem * | 38 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Bonzie Colson * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 21 | +9.1 |
| Matt Ryan | 16 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rex Pflueger | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 |
* = starter