🐻⬇️🏀

Utah State Aggies 65
@
San Diego State Aztecs 71
2016-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.8% 98.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.8% 98.2% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Moore * 40 5-12 1-5 3-5 9 2 0 1 1 14 13 -
Chris Smith * 34 1-5 0-3 2-4 4 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
Lew Evans * 32 4-8 2-4 5-6 7 0 0 0 2 15 12 -
Shane Rector * 30 1-9 0-0 9-13 4 7 2 0 3 11 12 -
Quinn Taylor * 23 4-6 1-1 0-2 6 1 1 1 0 9 12 -
Julion Pearre 18 5-7 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 12 6 -
Elston Jones 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 0 4 -
Darius Perkins 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Perez 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Kell * 32 6-14 3-7 2-3 5 2 0 2 0 17 12 -
W. Shepard * 31 4-8 0-0 4-7 8 3 0 1 1 12 15 -
M. Pope * 27 6-11 3-5 0-1 7 1 0 0 1 15 11 -
S. Spencer * 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 3 0 0 7 -
Z. Cheatham * 21 1-9 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 -4 -
D. Allen 25 2-5 0-1 5-9 3 2 0 0 0 9 9 -
J. Hemsley 16 2-4 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
A. Chol 14 2-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 7 5 -
M. Shrigley 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter