Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Moore * | 40 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -7.4 |
| C. Smith * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6.8 |
| L. Evans * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -5.2 |
| S. Rector * | 30 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -6.3 |
| Q. Taylor * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -1.9 |
| J. Pearre | 18 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -1.9 |
| E. Jones | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5.4 |
| D. Perkins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Perez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Kell * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +2.4 |
| W. Shepard * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +8.2 |
| M. Pope * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +8.2 |
| S. Spencer * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Z. Cheatham * | 21 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | +8.3 |
| D. Allen | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +6.0 |
| A. Chol | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +5.6 |
| M. Shrigley | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter