Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (88-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Robinson * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jamel Artis * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Michael Young * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Rafael Maia * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sheldon Jeter | 21 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -8.1 |
| Ryan Luther | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Chris Jones | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Sterling Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +1.7 |
| J. Berry II * | 29 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +12.4 |
| Brice Johnson * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Isaiah Hicks | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Nate Britt | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +12.1 |
| Kenny Williams | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joel James | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Luke Maye | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stilman White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spenser Dalton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Toby Egbuna | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter