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2016-03-10

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota Fighting Hawks Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (36.5 off)

Actual: Idaho State Bengals -34 (49-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Hooker * 33 5-11 1-3 2-2 7 1 2 0 2 13 10 +25.2
D. Bernstine * 31 5-11 0-0 4-7 21 3 0 0 2 14 25 +24.9
C. Baldwin * 23 3-8 2-6 2-2 7 2 2 1 2 10 12 +12.2
G. Crandall * 17 4-6 1-2 3-3 3 1 2 0 4 12 8 -10.9
C. Avants * 16 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 3 1 0 1 4 7 +24.8
A. McDermott 27 5-8 5-8 1-1 3 0 1 0 2 16 10 +11.6
C. Seales 22 4-9 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 10 6 -11.6
C. Shanks 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Hobaugh 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -12.9
J. Collins 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
T. Blake 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
S. Benton 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Telfair * 39 5-20 4-11 3-4 2 3 8 0 2 17 8 -
B. Wilson * 32 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 2 1 1 8 10 -12.2
G. Luzcando * 30 3-8 0-4 4-5 4 1 2 0 6 10 3 -24.8
G. Chivichyan * 24 0-6 0-5 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 2 -1 -11.8
K. Ingram * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 0 -3 +12.2
E. Hall 18 1-2 0-0 2-7 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -12.2
E. Nakken 16 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -11.8
S. Lennox 13 2-5 1-2 0-2 9 1 0 1 0 5 11 -
N. Topalovic 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter