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2016-03-10

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
Elo 82.3% 17.7% -
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% -
Margin 55.9% 44.1% -1.3 (3.7 off)

Actual: East Carolina Pirates -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McMurray * 37 3-12 1-6 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 9 4 +3.8
A. Nunez * 32 7-12 2-5 3-6 11 0 1 1 2 19 18 +3.8
N. Morillo * 27 2-10 1-6 3-4 1 4 1 0 2 8 2 -
R. Guerrero * 27 3-6 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 2 0 6 12 +2.7
B. Zeigler * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 +0.4
C. Perry 24 7-11 0-0 4-5 5 2 0 0 2 18 12 +0.4
J. Bodway 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 2 0 +3.1
J. Cousins 15 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 2 0 7 12 +0.4

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Williams * 39 2-10 1-6 4-5 4 4 1 1 2 9 7 -6.0
B.J. Tyson * 33 8-23 0-10 3-3 1 4 0 0 0 19 1 -
M. Zangari * 32 5-10 0-2 4-6 10 1 1 0 1 14 15 -
M. Nzege * 30 2-5 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 0 1 4 12 -
K. Barkley * 24 1-4 0-2 1-4 4 2 1 0 2 3 4 -0.3
L. Tejada 30 6-11 5-9 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 17 6 -2.7
K. Aja 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -3.3
C. Williams 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter