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Cal State Northridge Matadors 51
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 72
2016-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% - ✓
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 ✗ (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% - ✗

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +21 (72-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ramos 34 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
C. Fluker 31 5-10 0-0 7-9 9 0 1 0 2 17 15 -
S. Maulupe 26 1-7 0-3 2-4 2 2 0 0 1 4 0 -
E. Cole 25 2-8 2-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 6 1 -
T. Boagni 23 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 4 1 -
J. Johnson 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
C. Allen 16 0-4 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -6 -
N. Morrow 12 2-7 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
V. Garner 9 1-2 0-1 3-5 0 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
L. Neuner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Sanchez 36 3-9 0-2 6-6 3 6 1 0 0 12 13 -
D. Leaupepe 32 12-22 0-2 6-8 6 0 3 0 1 30 16 -
L. Leaupepe 29 7-11 0-2 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 14 11 -
A. Lovely 28 0-6 0-2 2-2 9 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
H. Gilbert 27 5-11 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 3 0 10 10 -
B. Balbierz 24 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Fausey 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
D. Stahley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Grupalo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Evans 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Anderson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Nunnelley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter