Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Chatman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nick Emery * | 40 | 10-19 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth * | 40 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Chase Fischer * | 32 | 4-16 | 3-11 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | +12.7 |
| Corbin Kaufusi * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Zac Seljaas | 32 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +10.9 |
| Nate Austin | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +0.9 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 37 | 10-18 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 17 | -9.8 |
| Josh Perkins * | 37 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | -10.1 |
| Kyle Dranginis * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Eric McClellan * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | -9.8 |
| Silas Melson | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.6 |
| Bryan Alberts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter