Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James McGee * | 36 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| John Marshall * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Juwan Major * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Casey Oliverson * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Daniel Melifonwu * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Kennedy | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Travon Langston | 15 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Paris Davis | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Thompson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Will Joyce | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Hobaugh | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quinton Hooker * | 39 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 12-13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Geno Crandall * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Drick Bernstine * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Conner Avants * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Corey Baldwin * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Adam McDermott | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cortez Seales | 28 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Carson Shanks | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter