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2016-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“

Actual: Florida Gators +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabril Durham * 34 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 6 0 0 2 4 7 -4.5
Dusty Hannahs * 32 12-23 2-8 7-7 3 0 0 0 1 33 12 +1.3
Anthlon Bell * 31 2-10 0-3 4-6 3 0 1 0 0 8 2 -3.4
Moses Kingsley * 31 4-12 0-0 2-7 14 0 1 1 4 10 10 -2.7
Keaton Miles * 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 1 4 -
Anton Beard 23 2-7 0-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 5 4 +0.2
Manuale Watkins 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 3 -3.1
Trey Thompson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Jimmy Whitt 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Willy Kouassi 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
KeVaughn Allen * 32 3-10 2-5 3-3 5 3 0 0 2 11 7 +5.1
Devin Robinson * 29 3-8 2-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 8 7 -
Chris Chiozza * 28 2-9 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 4 5 -3 +5.2
Dorian Finney-Smith * 27 3-11 2-5 5-7 9 3 2 1 0 13 17 -
Kevarrius Hayes * 15 0-0 0-0 3-8 6 0 0 0 1 3 8 -0.4
Kasey Hill 26 6-10 1-2 5-9 0 5 1 0 3 18 11 +0.1
John Egbunu 24 3-3 0-0 2-3 9 0 0 0 1 8 13 -
Justin Leon 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
DeVon Walker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandone Francis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter