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2016-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 โœ— (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns -14 (61-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 37 7-16 2-4 8-8 13 4 2 0 4 24 23 +1.0
Lester Medford * 37 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 4 5 -3.6
Allerik Freeman * 35 5-13 1-6 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 12 3 +0.9
Ishmail Wainright * 23 1-5 0-2 1-2 8 0 0 2 2 3 6 -
Johnathan Motley * 12 3-3 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 9 5 -3.6
Rico Gathers 22 5-9 0-0 3-3 9 0 1 1 2 13 13 +4.5
Jake Lindsey 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 3 4 +4.1
King McClure 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
T.J. Maston 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Connor Lammert * 38 5-10 2-6 3-3 4 1 1 1 2 15 10 +3.8
Isaiah Taylor * 36 3-9 2-2 0-0 3 9 1 0 1 8 11 -
Javan Felix * 23 0-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -5 -
Prince Ibeh * 21 3-6 0-0 2-6 3 0 0 1 1 8 5 +3.4
Demarcus Holland * 17 1-4 0-1 0-1 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 +5.6
K. Roach 26 5-10 1-3 2-4 6 1 2 1 0 13 13 -
Shaquille Cleare 18 6-10 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 12 5 -2.4
E. Davis Jr. 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 +3.3
Kendal Yancy 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.7
Cameron Ridley 2 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Tevin Mack 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter