Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +21.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +25 (70-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ceazer | 36 | 5-16 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Marshall | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Smith | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Mackowiak | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Newbolt | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Dirks | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Haskins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Snow | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| K. Williams | 28 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Holt | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Chvatal | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Fruendt | 22 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Gitzen | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Hughes | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| O. Osemenam | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Swartz | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Vander Weide | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Polowy | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter