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2016-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: Providence Friars +14 (74-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dunham * 37 5-12 5-6 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 17 8 +2.0
R. Jones * 37 1-9 0-0 3-4 5 5 1 1 3 5 5 +2.1
K. Martin * 34 4-15 2-7 3-3 10 4 0 0 4 13 8 -
A. Chrabascz * 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 6 2 +7.4
T. Wideman * 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 5 -3.5
A. Etherington 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
T. Lewis 9 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -3.6
J. Gathers 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +4.9
J. Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Bentil * 40 16-24 5-9 1-1 8 1 1 2 2 38 24 -
J. Lindsey * 39 3-6 2-5 0-3 7 0 1 1 0 8 11 +5.4
K. Dunn * 36 6-8 1-2 2-4 2 7 0 0 4 15 12 +3.4
R. Bullock * 35 4-8 0-2 0-0 9 0 0 2 0 8 11 +5.9
J. Lomomba * 20 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 6 -
K. Cartwright 23 1-7 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 0 2 3 -2.9
R. Fazekas 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -3.1
D. Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter