Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brown | 40 | 8-17 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| K. Wright | 38 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Dodson | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Padgett | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Mohamed | 20 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Mokube | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C. Bell | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. O'Donnell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Triggs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burdette | 40 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Grant-Allen | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| L. Cannatelli | 33 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| J. Cornelie-Sigmundova | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C. Macioce | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Layfield | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Dennis | 12 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Cvitkovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter