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2016-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
ELO 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 18.9% 81.1% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (57-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Venson * 39 3-11 2-5 - 5 3 1 4 8 2
L. Moses * 35 5-7 - 1-6 3 3 2 2 3 11 11
A. Huland El * 35 6-15 3-5 1-2 6 3 1 3 2 16 12
B. Mason * 28 -5 -2 - 1 -6
F. Randolph * 23 5-11 1-3 - 4 2 5 11 1
J. Brown 17 2-6 2-4 1-2 5 1 1 1 7 7
S. Umeri 10 -1 - - 1 0
D. Ferguson 8 -1 - - 1 1 3 4
M. Jones 5 -2 - - 1 -3

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
Player #3142010 * 36 6-15 1-3 1-2 15 1 2 1 14 16
A. Salvadores * 35 3-13 -7 3-4 3 3 2 1 4 9 1
O. Chidom * 32 7-12 - 6-7 9 2 6 20 13
C. Primm * 29 -8 - - 2 2 1 -5
Player #15218 * 16 2-4 -1 - 3 2 4 1
K. Lambert 31 2-6 -1 5-8 7 1 2 1 1 9 13
F. Suggs 10 -4 -3 - 2 1 -3
E. Mathias 7 -2 - 1-2 1 1 1 1 0
M. Riggs 4 - - - 0

* = starter