Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (57-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Venson * | 39 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Moses * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Huland El * | 35 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Mason * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| F. Randolph * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Umeri | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Ferguson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Jones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stevens * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. Salvadores * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| O. Chidom * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 13 | - |
| C. Primm * | 29 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Henson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Lambert | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| F. Suggs | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Mathias | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Riggs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter