Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.