Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | +9.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +2 (69-67). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Timmer * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Casey Schlatter * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Ore Arogundade * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Graham Woodward * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dominik Olejniczak * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jacob Enevold | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Rivers | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Karl Madison | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nick McGlynn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bill Wampler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dequon Miller * | 40 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Chris Kendrix * | 37 | 5-11 | 5-7 | 6-9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Obediah Church * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Camyn Boone * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Loomis Gerring | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tyler McCullough | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Robin Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Martin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter