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2016-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% -
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 29.6% 70.4% -
Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Log Adjusted 31.2% 68.8% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hayes-Davis * 38 8-16 3-5 11-13 8 3 1 0 3 30 23 -
B. Koenig * 37 3-12 2-9 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 8 3 +4.3
Z. Showalter * 36 5-9 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 13 6 -0.9
E. Happ * 29 5-10 0-0 4-7 6 1 2 0 2 14 11 +2.1
V. Brown * 27 3-7 3-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
J. Hill 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 +16.3
K. Iverson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Thomas IV 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Illikainen 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Toyra 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Eifert 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Edwards * 33 4-9 3-5 0-0 4 6 1 0 0 11 13 -
P.J. Thompson * 32 6-8 6-8 4-5 2 4 0 0 3 22 17 -
R. Davis * 30 1-3 0-1 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 5 5 -
C. Swanigan * 27 6-7 1-2 14-17 8 1 0 0 1 27 28 -
A. Hammons * 25 7-10 0-0 2-5 8 2 0 2 1 16 17 -
D. Mathias 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 0 5 +8.6
J. Hill 11 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 4 0 0 0 4 5 +16.3
I. Haas 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
R. Cline 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -9.0

* = starter