Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 36 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Hayes | 34 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 18 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 30 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Gatling | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Holmes | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Gray | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Toliver | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 34 | 13-14 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 41 | - |
| E. Carson | 34 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| C. Parker | 31 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| A. Beard | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Gray | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lavender | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Wauters | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter