Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bentley | 38 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - |
| A. Thomas | 30 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 29 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| J. Thomas | 29 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 20 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Tuck | 18 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 17 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| K. Faris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Williams | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Dupree | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 30 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| L. Harding | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Bone | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Harden | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter