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2016-06-28

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (89-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karima Christmas-Kelly * 34 5-12 1-2 1-1 7 3 3 1 1 12 13 -
Skylar Diggins-Smith * 34 12-17 3-6 2-2 2 7 1 0 3 29 19 -
Plenette Pierson * 31 5-12 3-6 0-0 6 2 1 1 2 13 9 -
Courtney Paris * 24 5-7 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 10 9 -
Erin Phillips * 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
Glory Johnson 24 4-7 0-0 4-4 6 2 2 0 1 12 14 -
Odyssey Sims 20 2-9 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 -2 -
Aerial Powers 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candace Parker * 36 12-25 0-2 7-8 13 7 2 1 1 31 28 -
Essence Carson * 35 6-11 1-1 4-4 2 2 1 0 3 17 8 -
Kristi Toliver * 33 5-10 3-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 13 11 -
Alana Beard * 26 2-6 0-1 1-1 1 1 4 0 1 5 4 -
Nneka Ogwumike * 15 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 4 7 3 -
Jantel Lavender 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 6 11 -
Chelsea Gray 17 2-8 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 1 0 4 5 -
Ana Dabovic 6 2-3 0-1 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jelena Dubljevic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter