Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -7 (97-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 40 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Dupree | 38 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 7-17 | 5-13 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| L. Harding | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Bass | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Bone | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Harden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rodgers | 38 | 7-18 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 5 | - |
| T. Charles | 36 | 12-27 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 10 | - |
| S. Zellous | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Wright | 29 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Stokes | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Cash | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Swords | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Zahui B. | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| R. Allen | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter