Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | -3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -5 (87-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| B. January | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 28 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Kizer | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Peters | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Coleman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 33 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 10-14 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - |
| O. Sims | 32 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 21 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| A. Powers | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Paris | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Phillips | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Hooper | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter