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2016-06-24

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elena Delle Donne 39 10-17 5-7 6-6 8 2 0 0 1 31 23 -
C. Pondexter 34 9-17 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 20 10 -
Courtney Vandersloot 34 3-7 1-3 2-2 4 5 5 0 1 9 15 -
T. Young 32 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
I. McGee-Stafford 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 6 9 -
E. de Souza 15 0-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Allie Quigley 12 4-9 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 8 -2 -
J. Faulkner 6 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Breland 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles 34 8-18 0-0 5-5 13 4 1 0 1 21 20 -
S. Rodgers 31 4-13 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 11 3 -
T. Wright 29 3-8 0-0 2-2 4 4 2 1 3 8 8 -
Kiah Stokes 27 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 0 12 14 -
S. Cash 20 3-5 0-1 0-2 3 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
S. Zellous 17 0-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
C. Swords 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 4 5 -
Rebecca Allen 12 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
B. Boyd-Jones 11 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 1 2 2 -
Amanda Zahui B 5 2-4 1-1 1-1 1 0 1 2 0 6 6 -

* = starter