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2016-06-22

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.0 โœ— (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.6% 51.4% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream -11 (79-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles 42 9-24 2-5 3-5 9 10 2 2 2 23 20 -
Kiah Stokes 38 5-7 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 1 11 15 -
T. Wright 38 6-12 0-0 0-0 5 8 2 1 4 12 12 -
S. Zellous 34 4-7 0-1 6-7 5 3 0 0 0 14 15 -
S. Rodgers 34 3-9 2-5 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 10 5 -
S. Cash 33 5-9 0-0 3-3 4 1 1 0 2 13 8 -
C. Swords 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 4 7 -
B. Boyd-Jones 11 1-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 4 3 -3 -
Amanda Zahui B 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
S. Schimmel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 46 4-9 0-1 3-3 11 3 8 1 4 11 21 -
Elizabeth Williams 45 7-16 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 3 0 16 10 -
Angel McCoughtry 41 8-21 0-3 6-6 10 4 0 0 2 22 13 -
Tiffany Hayes 40 6-16 0-5 5-6 2 4 3 0 1 17 9 -
L. Clarendon 34 2-11 0-2 4-6 3 3 3 0 3 8 3 -
C. Cortijo 16 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Ajavon 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 3 -
R. Hollivay 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
M. Simmons 8 1-6 1-5 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
C. Burdick 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter