Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +10 (100-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 37 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 30 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Harden | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 23 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Courtney Paris * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Glory Johnson | 23 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 9 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brianna Kiesel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ruth Hamblin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter