Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +10 (100-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D. Bonner | 31 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Bass | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Quinn | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Harden | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| I. Harrison | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 32 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| P. Pierson | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 23 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | - |
| G. Johnson | 23 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Paris | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Powers | 12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| E. Phillips | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Hooper | 9 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Hamblin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter