Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +6 (81-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monique Currie * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 33 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 32 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Haley Peters | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Imani McGee-Stafford | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jamierra Faulkner | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Breland | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Clarissa Dos Santos | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter