Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -3 (75-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 43 | 9-21 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brittany Boyd-Jones | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlana Larkins * | 40 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 35 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Briann January * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 35 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brene Moseley | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Natalie Achonwa | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter