Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | San Antonio Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | -5.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Stars -16 (65-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| L. Harding | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 22 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| P. Taylor | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Xargay | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Bone | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Bass | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Harrison | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Harden | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jefferson | 31 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Currie | 29 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 27 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| H. Peters | 22 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Colson | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| V. Baugh | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Knight | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter