Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -9 (78-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 36 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 36 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 27 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Williams | 22 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Bentley | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 15 | 8-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| K. Faris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dolson | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| T. Hill | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 24 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 23 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Malott | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter