Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (90-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| B. Griner | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| M. Xargay | 32 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 28 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 7-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| P. Taylor | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Harding | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Bone | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bass | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker | 34 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 34 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| A. Beard | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Toliver | 30 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Gray | 24 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| J. Lavender | 19 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Carson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Gruda | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter