Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (89-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman | 33 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| B. January | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Catchings | 32 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| S. Johnson | 25 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Kizer | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Peters | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 35 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| J. Thomas | 29 | 7-14 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| A. Bentley | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Thomas | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Faris | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 18 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Williams | 13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter