Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Williams | 38 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Hayes | 29 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| B. Holmes | 28 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Gatling | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Gray | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Simmons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 25 | - |
| D. Bonner | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 26 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 25 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Xargay | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Harding | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Bass | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Harrison | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter