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2016-09-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams 38 3-13 0-0 2-2 16 1 0 0 1 8 11 -
L. Clarendon 32 2-5 0-2 1-4 5 4 0 0 6 5 3 -
T. Hayes 29 6-13 3-6 7-9 1 1 0 0 2 22 9 -
B. Holmes 28 5-9 2-3 2-4 4 2 0 1 3 14 9 -
R. Hollivay 24 2-4 0-0 3-6 7 2 0 0 0 7 12 -
M. Ajavon 18 3-7 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 2 2 7 2 -
A. McCoughtry 13 2-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 4 6 -1 -
M. Gatling 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
R. Gray 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Cortijo 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Simmons 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dupree 32 5-11 0-0 5-5 6 2 2 2 1 15 15 -
B. Griner 30 6-8 0-0 9-9 9 1 0 5 3 21 25 -
D. Bonner 28 1-3 0-2 1-2 4 6 2 1 0 3 13 -
D. Taurasi 26 5-15 1-5 6-7 1 1 0 1 1 17 4 -
P. Taylor 25 6-11 2-6 0-1 1 3 6 1 1 14 13 -
M. Xargay 22 3-7 1-3 1-2 4 6 2 0 2 8 11 -
S. Petrovic 12 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
K. Bone 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Harding 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Bass 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
I. Harrison 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Harden 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter