Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 47 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 45 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 7-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 42 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| P. Pierson | 37 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| G. Johnson | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Paris | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| E. Phillips | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Powers | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Hamblin | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Hooper | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 45 | 12-23 | 4-8 | 10-12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 21 | - |
| B. Griner | 42 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| P. Taylor | 39 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| C. Dupree | 39 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| N. Quinn | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Harrison | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Bass | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Harden | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Williams | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter