Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 31 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Bass | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| N. Quinn | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Harden | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver | 34 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Candace Parker | 34 | 10-17 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 20 | - |
| A. Beard | 34 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| E. Carson | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wauters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter