Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | San Antonio Stars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Stars -9 (75-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Briann January | 30 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| E. Larkins | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| L. Kizer | 15 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Peters | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
San Antonio Stars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 33 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Currie | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Appel-Marinelli | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - |
| H. Peters | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Alexander | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Eldebrink | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter