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2016-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Lynx +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart 38 3-14 1-4 11-13 8 1 1 0 4 18 10 -
S. Bird 35 5-9 2-4 4-4 2 8 1 0 1 16 17 -
Jewell Loyd 32 6-14 2-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 3 16 5 -
C. Langhorne 32 3-7 0-0 1-2 8 3 0 0 1 7 10 -
Alysha Clark 32 4-7 2-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 7 -
K. Mosqueda-Lewis 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 3 0 -
N. Quinn 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
K. Thomas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Bishop 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 35 4-13 2-4 11-12 8 3 1 0 4 21 16 -
Sylvia Fowles 30 8-10 0-0 4-4 12 2 3 2 0 20 29 -
R. Brunson 26 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 4 2 -
L. Whalen 22 2-8 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 4 3 -
S. Augustus 21 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 6 1 -
J. Perkins 19 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 1 0 2 4 -
R. Montgomery 18 1-6 0-1 0-0 0 6 2 0 1 2 3 -
Natasha Howard 16 7-10 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
J. McCarville 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
K. Hampton 5 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter