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2016-06-12

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bentley 35 5-17 0-5 0-1 6 5 2 0 1 10 5 -
M. Tuck 29 6-13 1-3 1-3 6 4 0 0 0 14 11 -
K. Bone 28 5-8 1-1 2-4 3 4 1 2 3 13 12 -
J. Thomas 27 7-10 1-3 4-5 3 5 0 0 0 19 17 -
C. Little 20 6-9 1-2 1-2 2 1 2 0 2 14 8 -
K. Faris 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
C. Ogwumike 16 2-3 0-0 1-5 6 0 1 1 1 5 9 -
S. Stricklen 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Thomas 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Banham 5 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
A. Henry-Morello 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Jones 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Williams 36 9-16 0-0 2-2 10 5 2 3 2 20 22 -
T. Hayes 33 4-11 0-2 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 9 5 -
A. McCoughtry 32 8-16 0-1 2-5 6 1 4 0 5 18 8 -
L. Clarendon 26 6-8 1-2 6-6 2 9 1 0 0 19 23 -
R. Gray 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
C. Cortijo 15 1-3 0-2 4-5 2 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
B. Holmes 14 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Simmons 11 4-8 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 10 3 -
A. Warley-Talbert 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Hollivay 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Burdick 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter