Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 21 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| M. Gatling | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Simmons | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hollivay | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| R. Brunson | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Augustus | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| M. Moore | 25 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Perkins | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Hampton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter