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2016-06-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.1% 19.9% - โœ“
Margin 79.2% 20.8% -7.3 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Brunson 34 1-2 0-0 2-2 12 4 1 0 4 4 15 -
Sylvia Fowles 34 6-9 0-0 6-8 7 1 1 3 3 18 18 -
M. Moore 33 4-15 1-3 6-8 7 5 1 0 2 15 11 -
S. Augustus 33 10-18 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 21 6 -
R. Montgomery 29 5-7 3-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 13 4 -
J. Perkins 25 1-5 0-1 3-4 3 1 2 1 2 5 5 -
Natasha Howard 9 2-3 0-1 3-3 1 1 2 0 1 7 7 -
J. McCarville 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Hampton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emma Meesseman 32 9-17 1-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 19 10 -
T. Hill 31 4-13 0-4 4-4 2 6 3 0 0 12 10 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 27 2-8 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
Kia Vaughn 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
I. Latta 21 5-12 3-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 13 4 -
Natasha Cloud 19 2-7 0-2 1-1 0 1 2 0 2 5 -1 -
S. Dolson 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Kahleah Copper 12 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
B. Hartley 10 2-6 0-4 2-2 0 2 1 0 2 6 1 -
Tianna Hawkins 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter