Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (99-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 38 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Tuck | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| K. Bone | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Banham | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Thomas | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Bentley | 18 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Jones | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Faris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Griner | 35 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| C. Dupree | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Bass | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Harden | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Quinn | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Harrison | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter